Novel integrated risk index reveals uneven impact of climate change on fascioliasis risk across Africa and Europe
Tiem van der Deure, Samson Mukaratirwa, Moses Chimbari, Agrippa Dube, Tawanda Manyangadze, Mita Eva Sengupta, Safari Kinunghi, Rubens Mita, Julia Walker, Bryan O. Nyawanda, David Nogués-Bravo, Anna-Sofie Stensgaard
This paper develops a novel risk index to predict how climate change will affect fascioliasis transmission risk across Africa and Europe, finding that risk will generally decrease but with geographic variation.
bioRxiv · Dec 9, 2025 · PreprintEcology