Consensus and conflict among ecological forecasts of Zika virus outbreaks in the United States
C. J. Carlson, E. Dougherty, M. Boots, W. Getz, S. Ryan
The paper compares ecological niche models and mechanistic forecasts for Zika virus transmission in the US, showing how model conflicts propagate uncertainty and proposes a consensus method to improve outbreak predictions.
bioRxiv · Nov 14, 2017Ecology