The limits of Bayesian estimates of divergence times in measurably evolving populations
Simona Ivanov, Samuel Fosse, Mario dos Reis, Sebastián Duchêne
This paper examines the limits of Bayesian divergence time estimates in microbial evolution, finding that uncertainty scales with distance to calibration points rather than absolute age.
bioRxiv · Oct 4, 2026 · PreprintBioinformatics