Empirical models of initial attack success are not suitable for triaging ignitions in Victoria, Australia
Kristy Butler, Elena Tartaglia, Jason Rennie, Stephen Deutsch, Nicholas McCarthy
The paper develops empirical models to triage wildfires but finds they are inadequate for operational use due to unmeasured factors affecting initial attack success.
International Journal of Wildland Fire · Sep 1, 2026Peer-reviewedEcology