Overconfidence undermines global wildlife abundance trends
T. F. Johnson, A. P. Beckerman, D. Z. Childs, C. Griffiths, P. Capdevila, C. Clements, M. Besson, R. Gregory, K. Evans, G. H. Thomas, E. Delmas, T. Webb, R. Freckleton
The paper shows current abundance trend estimates are unreliable due to unaccounted phylogenetic, spatial, and temporal structures, and introduces a new framework to improve accuracy and uncertainty estimation.
bioRxiv · Nov 2, 2022 · PreprintEcology