Breaking down of healthcare system: Mathematical modelling for controlling the novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) outbreak in Wuhan, China
W.-k. Ming, J. Huang, C. J. P. Zhang
The paper uses a modified SIR model to estimate the actual number of 2019-nCoV cases and healthcare system burdens in Wuhan under different diagnosis rates and intervention efficacies.
bioRxiv · Jan 27, 2020 · PreprintMicrobiology