A. Hurford

Dynamic energy budget model for a bumble bee colony: Predicting the spatial distribution and dynamics of colonies across multiple seasons

This paper develops a dynamic energy budget model to predict bumble bee colony spatial distribution and dynamics across seasons, finding that timing and quantity of wildflower patches affect pollination and bee survival.

When host populations move north, but disease moves south: counter-intuitive impacts of climate warming on disease spread

The paper models how climate warming can cause disease to spread southward even as host species move northward, due to lagged thermal niche adaptation.

Symbiosis increases population size and buffers environmental fluctuations in a physiologically-structured model parameterized for thyasirid bivalves

This study uses a physiologically-structured model to show that symbiosis increases thyasirid bivalve population size and stabilizes populations against environmental fluctuations.

Resource and seasonality drive interspecific variability in a Dynamic Energy Budget model

The paper uses a Dynamic Energy Budget model to show how resource variability and seasonality drive interspecific trait variation, aligning with classical ecological patterns.

Skewed temperature dependence affects range and abundance in a warming world

The paper shows that climate warming negatively affects species with cold-skewed fitness curves and positively affects those with warm-skewed curves, challenging classical interpretations.

Regional climate affects salmon lice population dynamics, stage structure, and management

The paper shows how regional climate differences affect salmon lice population dynamics, stage structure, and management strategies.

Parasite-induced shifts in host movement may explain the transient coexistence of high- and low-pathogenic disease strains

The paper models how parasite-induced host lethargy can lead to evolutionary bistability in virulence, explaining coexistence of high- and low-pathogenic disease strains.