Inferring within-flock transmission dynamics of highly pathogenic avian influenza (H5N8) in France, 2020
T. Vergne, S. Gubbins, C. Guinat, B. Bauzile, M. Delpont, D. Chakraborty, H. Gruson, B. Roche, M. Andraud, M. Paul, J.-L. Guerin
This study uses a stochastic epidemic model and ABC-SMC to estimate H5N8 transmission dynamics in ducks, revealing key parameters and latent threats in France in 2020.
bioRxiv · Dec 21, 2020Ecology