P. J. Mumby

The paper identifies thermal refugia with higher heat tolerance in corals, finding that non-thermal factors may influence tolerance and that bleaching patterns do not predict species responses.

The paper evaluates cumulative impacts on the Great Barrier Reef by simulating coral demographics and stressor effects across 2,300 km of reef, finding coral cover declined by one third from 2008-2020 with bleaching as the primary driver.

This paper fine-tunes the Degree Heating Week algorithm to improve coral bleaching predictions using satellite SST data and a global bleaching dataset.

The paper uses eco-evolutionary simulations to assess coral reef persistence and recovery under climate change across three regions, finding that evolution and connectivity are critical factors.

The paper uses biophysical dispersal models and genetic data to show asymmetric larval dispersal from northern to southern Great Barrier Reef corals.