Zika Virus Disease: A Simple Model Approach to Rapid Impact Assessment
James M. Wilson, Robert W. Malone, Julie Smith-Gagen, Roman Pabayo, Zika Response Working Group
Abstract
There has been substantial media attention regarding Zika infection as a threat to pregnancy, prompted by WHOs declaration of a Public Health Event of International Concern (PHEIC). Here we present a simple risk assessment model for two states within the continental United States at-risk for autochthonous transmission of Zika virus, Texas and Florida. Our simple impact assessment model is partially validating at this early interval in the crisis.
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