Peter John Hudson

The paper analyzes the spread of H5N1 avian influenza in North America, identifying seasonal patterns and a phase transition linked to mammalian cases and regional viral amplification.

This study models how diet affects viral shedding and spillover risk in Jamaican fruit bats infected with H18N11, finding diet-dependent interactions between citrulline and TNF influence shedding and transmission.

The paper shows that periodic increases in viral load during high prevalence periods in bats correlate with spillover events, suggesting viral load is a better predictor of transmission risk than prevalence alone.